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POL Pologne - IV Liga · Match ·

Tluchowia Tluchowo vs Pogon Mogilno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–23.52 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile43%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Tluchowia TluchowoPogon Mogilno
Expected goals3.52Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de68% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
43% / 25% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Double chance1275.3%1.33
Plus de 68% · Moins de 32%Goals 2.5Plus de68%1.47
Oui 69% · Non 31%Les deux équipes marquentOui69%1.45
3.52 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.6 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tluchowia Tluchowo win43%2.332.1042.9%
Nul25%4.003.6025%
Pogon Mogilno win32%3.132.8032.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tluchowia Tluchowo1.91

Domicile share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals3.52Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 68% · Moins de 32%

Pogon Mogilno1.61

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 69% · Non 31%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Tluchowia Tluchowo

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Pogon Mogilno

0.50pts / match
Joués2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1

SignalExtérieur failed to score: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.91
Expected goals
1.61
Tluchowia TluchowoPogon Mogilno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tluchowia Tluchowo signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Mogilno signalExtérieur failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tluchowia Tluchowo vs Pogon Mogilno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tluchowia Tluchowo victoire 43%,Nul 25%,Pogon Mogilno victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.52 · Plus de 2.5 68% · Current selection Plus de