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POL Polonia - Liga IV · Meci ·

Tluchowia Tluchowo vs Pogon Mogilno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.53 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde43%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți32%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Tluchowia TluchowoPogon Mogilno
Expected goals3.53Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste68% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
43% / 25% / 32%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Șansă dublă1275.3%1.33
Peste 68% · Sub 32%Goals 2.5Peste68%1.47
Da 69% · Nu 31%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa69%1.45
3.53 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
10.6 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tluchowia Tluchowo win43%2.332.1042.9%
Egal25%4.003.6025%
Pogon Mogilno win32%3.132.8032.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tluchowia Tluchowo1.92

Gazde share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals3.53Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 68% · Sub 32%

Pogon Mogilno1.61

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 69% · Nu 31%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Tluchowia Tluchowo

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Pogon Mogilno

0.50pts / match
Jucate2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Puncte1

SignalOaspeți failed to score: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Câștig probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.92
Expected goals
1.61
Tluchowia TluchowoPogon Mogilno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tluchowia Tluchowo signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Mogilno signalOaspeți failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tluchowia Tluchowo vs Pogon Mogilno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tluchowia Tluchowo câștig 43%,Egal 25%,Pogon Mogilno câștig 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Peste 2.5 68% · Current selection Peste