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POL Полша - Лига 4 · Мач ·

Тлуховия Тлухово vs Погон Могилно

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.53 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина43%
Равен25%
Победа за госта32%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина43% selection probability
Projected score2–2Тлуховия ТлуховоПогон Могилно
Expected goals3.53Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над68% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
43% / 25% / 32%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Двоен шанс1275.3%1.33
Над 68% · Под 32%Goals 2.5Над68%1.47
Да 69% · Не 31%И двата отбора да отбележатДа69%1.45
3.53 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
10.6 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Тлуховия Тлухово win43%2.332.1042.9%
Равен25%4.003.6025%
Погон Могилно win32%3.132.8032.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Тлуховия Тлухово1.92

Домакин share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals3.53Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 68% · Под 32%

Погон Могилно1.61

Гост share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 69% · Не 31%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Тлуховия Тлухово

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Погон Могилно

0.50pts / match
Изиграни2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Точки1

SignalГост failed to score: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
1
1.92
Expected goals
1.61
Тлуховия ТлуховоПогон Могилно
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Тлуховия Тлухово signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Погон Могилно signalГост failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Тлуховия Тлухово vs Погон Могилно FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Тлуховия Тлухово печеливш 43%,Равен 25%,Погон Могилно печеливш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Над 2.5 68% · Current selection Над