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EST Estonie - Esiliiga · Final ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–3Pronostic 2–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile52%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur27%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 52% selection probability
Prediction Perdu
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile52% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Expected goals3.76Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de72% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
52% / 21% / 27%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Double chance1279.4%1.26
Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%Goals 2.5Plus de72%1.39
Oui 70% · Non 30%Les deux équipes marquentOui70%1.43
3.76 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev win52%1.921.7052.4%-0.4 pp
Nul21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Maardu Linnameeskond win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.22

Domicile share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals3.76Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 72% · Moins de 28%

Maardu Linnameeskond1.54

Extérieur share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 70% · Non 30%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Maardu Linnameeskond

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gagné probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.22
Expected goals
1.54
JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maardu Linnameeskond signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev victoire 52%,Nul 21%,Maardu Linnameeskond victoire 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Plus de 2.5 72% · Current selection Plus de