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EST Estland - Esiliiga · Final ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–3Prognose 2–2
Auswärts form
Heimsieg52%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg27%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 52% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg52% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Expected goals3.76Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über72% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
52% / 21% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Doppelte Chance1279.4%1.26
Über 72% · Unter 28%Goals 2.5Über72%1.39
Ja 70% · Nein 30%Beide Teams treffenJa70%1.43
3.76 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev win52%1.921.7052.4%-0.4 pp
Unentschieden21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Maardu Linnameeskond win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.22

Heim share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals3.76Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 72% · Unter 28%

Maardu Linnameeskond1.54

Auswärts share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nein 30%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Maardu Linnameeskond

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.22
Expected goals
1.54
JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maardu Linnameeskond signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev Gewinn 52%,Unentschieden 21%,Maardu Linnameeskond Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Über 2.5 72% · Current selection Über