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EST Eesti esiliiga · Final ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score1–3Ennustus 2–2
Võõras form
Koduvõit52%
Viik21%
Võõrsilvõit27%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 52% selection probability
Prediction Kaotatud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit52% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Expected goals3.76Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle72% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
52% / 21% / 27%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Topeltvõimalus1279.4%1.26
Üle 72% · Alla 28%Goals 2.5Üle72%1.39
Jah 70% · Ei 30%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah70%1.43
3.76 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–2
10.8 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev win52%1.921.7052.4%-0.4 pp
Viik21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Maardu Linnameeskond win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.22

Kodu share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals3.76Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 72% · Alla 28%

Maardu Linnameeskond1.54

Võõras share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJah 70% · Ei 30%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Maardu Linnameeskond

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Võit probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.22
Expected goals
1.54
JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maardu Linnameeskond signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev võit 52%,Viik 21%,Maardu Linnameeskond võit 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Üle 2.5 72% · Current selection Üle