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EST Estland - Esiliiga · Final ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–3Prognose 2–2
Ude form
Hjemmesejr52%
Uafgjort21%
Udesejr27%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 52% selection probability
Prediction Tabt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr52% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Expected goals3.76Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over72% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
52% / 21% / 27%KampresultatHjemmesejr52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.6%)Dobbeltchance1279.4%1.26
Over 72% · Under 28%Goals 2.5Over72%1.39
Ja 70% · Nej 30%Begge hold scorerJa70%1.43
3.76 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev win52%1.921.7052.4%-0.4 pp
Uafgjort21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Maardu Linnameeskond win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.22

Hjemme share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals3.76Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 72% · Under 28%

Maardu Linnameeskond1.54

Ude share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nej 30%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Maardu Linnameeskond

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Vundet probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.22
Expected goals
1.54
JK Tallinna KalevMaardu Linnameeskond
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maardu Linnameeskond signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev vundet 52%,Uafgjort 21%,Maardu Linnameeskond vundet 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.76 · Over 2.5 72% · Current selection Over