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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Final ·

FC Porto vs Alverca

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score2–0Pronostic 2–0
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile78%
Nul16%
Victoire à l’extérieur6%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 78% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile78% selection probability
Projected score2–0FC PortoAlverca
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de50% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
78% / 16% / 6%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alverca win (6.2%)Double chance1X93.8%1.07
Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%Goals 2.5Moins de50%2.00
Oui 30% · Non 70%Les deux équipes marquentNon70%1.43
2.68 total expected goalsScore exact2–0
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapFC Porto winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Porto win78%1.281.2277.3%+0.7 pp
Nul16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp
Alverca win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Porto2.28

Domicile share of expected goals 85.1%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 50% · Moins de 50%

Alverca0.40

Extérieur share of expected goals 14.9%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitOui 30% · Non 70%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FC Porto

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Alverca

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
Gagné probability excluding draw
6%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.28
Expected goals
0.40
FC PortoAlverca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Porto signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alverca signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

FC Porto vs Alverca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–0 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Porto victoire 78%,Nul 16%,Alverca victoire 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Plus de 2.5 50% · Current selection Moins de