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PRT Portugali Primeira Liga · Final ·

FC Porto vs Alverca

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score2–0Ennustus 2–0
Võõras form
Koduvõit78%
Viik16%
Võõrsilvõit6%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 78% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit78% selection probability
Projected score2–0FC PortoAlverca
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alla50% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
78% / 16% / 6%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit78%1.28
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alverca win (6.2%)Topeltvõimalus1X93.8%1.07
Üle 50% · Alla 50%Goals 2.5Alla50%2.00
Jah 30% · Ei 70%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi70%1.43
2.68 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–0
9.2 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapFC Porto winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Porto win78%1.281.2277.3%+0.7 pp
Viik16%6.255.7516.4%-0.4 pp
Alverca win6%16.6715.006.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Porto2.28

Kodu share of expected goals 85.1%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 50% · Alla 50%

Alverca0.40

Võõras share of expected goals 14.9%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJah 30% · Ei 70%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FC Porto

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu won 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Alverca

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
78%
Võit probability excluding draw
6%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.28
Expected goals
0.40
FC PortoAlverca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Porto signalKodu won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alverca signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk22% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

FC Porto vs Alverca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–0 · 78% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Porto võit 78%,Viik 16%,Alverca võit 6%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Üle 2.5 50% · Current selection Alla