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EUR Europe Friendlies · Match ·

Albacete Balompie vs Real Murcia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile62%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur18%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 62% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Albacete BalompieReal Murcia
Expected goals3.31Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
62% / 20% / 18%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Murcia win (17.5%)Double chance1X82.5%1.21
Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%Goals 2.5Plus de65%1.54
Oui 63% · Non 37%Les deux équipes marquentOui63%1.59
3.31 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Albacete Balompie win62%1.611.4063.9%
Nul20%5.004.5019.9%
Real Murcia win18%5.565.5016.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Albacete Balompie2.10

Domicile share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals3.31Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 65% · Moins de 35%

Real Murcia1.21

Extérieur share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 63% · Non 37%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Albacete Balompie

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Real Murcia

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gagné probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
9
2.10
Expected goals
1.21
Albacete BalompieReal Murcia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Albacete Balompie signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Murcia signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Albacete Balompie vs Real Murcia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Albacete Balompie victoire 62%,Nul 20%,Real Murcia victoire 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Plus de 2.5 65% · Current selection Plus de