Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
62% / 20% / 18%Match resultHome win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Murcia win (17.5%)Double chance1X82.5%1.21
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.31 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Albacete Balompie win62%1.611.4063.9%—
Draw20%5.004.5019.9%—
Real Murcia win18%5.565.5016.3%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 63.4%
Total expected goals3.31Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%
Away share of expected goals 36.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchAlbacete Balompie
LLWDL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchReal Murcia
WWLLW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
62%
Win probability excluding draw
18%4
Points from supplied form
92.10
Expected goals
1.21Albacete BalompieReal Murcia
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Albacete Balompie vs Real Murcia FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Albacete Balompie win 62%，Draw 20%，Real Murcia win 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.31 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over。