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EUR 欧州親善試合 · 試合 ·

アルバセテ・バロンピエ vs レアルムルシア

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.29 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利56%
引き分け23%
アウェイ勝利21%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利56% selection probability
Projected score2–1アルバセテ・バロンピエレアルムルシア
Expected goals3.29始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー64% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
56% / 23% / 21%試合結果ホーム勝利56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes レアルムルシア win (20.9%)ダブルチャンス1X79.1%1.26
オーバー 64% · アンダー 36%Goals 2.5オーバー64%1.56
はい 64% · いいえ 36%両チーム得点はい64%1.56
3.29 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.2 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アルバセテ・バロンピエ win56%1.791.5757.1%
引き分け23%4.353.9023%
レアルムルシア win21%4.764.5019.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アルバセテ・バロンピエ2.00

ホーム share of expected goals 60.8%

Total expected goals3.29始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 64% · アンダー 36%

レアルムルシア1.29

アウェイ share of expected goals 39.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 64% · いいえ 36%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アルバセテ・バロンピエ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

レアルムルシア

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
勝ち probability excluding draw
21%
7
Points from supplied form
9
2.00
Expected goals
1.29
アルバセテ・バロンピエレアルムルシア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アルバセテ・バロンピエ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02レアルムルシア signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

アルバセテ・バロンピエ vs レアルムルシア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アルバセテ・バロンピエ 勝ち 56%,引き分け 23%,レアルムルシア 勝ち 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · オーバー 2.5 64% · Current selection オーバー