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Danubio vs Cerro

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit40%
Viik34%
Võõrsilvõit26%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit40% selection probability
Projected score1–1DanubioCerro
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla74% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi66% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
40% / 34% / 26%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro win (26.1%)Topeltvõimalus1X73.9%1.35
Üle 26% · Alla 74%Goals 2.5Alla74%1.35
Jah 34% · Ei 66%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi66%1.52
1.78 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
8.6 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Danubio win40%2.50
Viik34%2.94
Cerro win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Danubio1.08

Kodu share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 26% · Alla 74%

Cerro0.70

Võõras share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 34% · Ei 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Danubio

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Cerro

2.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punktid11

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Võit probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.08
Expected goals
0.70
DanubioCerro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Danubio signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro signalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Danubio vs Cerro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Danubio võit 40%,Viik 34%,Cerro võit 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Üle 2.5 26% · Current selection Alla