Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 34% / 26%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro win (26.1%)Doppia Chance1X73.9%1.35
Sopra 26% · Sotto 74%Goals 2.5Sotto74%1.35
Sì 34% · No 66%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo66%1.52
1.78 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
8.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Danubio win40%2.50
Pareggio34%2.94
Cerro win26%3.85
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 60.7%
Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 26% · Sotto 74%
Trasferta share of expected goals 39.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchDanubio
WWLDD
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8
SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchCerro
DDWWW
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11
SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
26%8
Points from supplied form
111.08
Expected goals
0.70DanubioCerro
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 34%.
Match questions
Danubio vs Cerro FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Danubio vinta 40%，Pareggio 34%，Cerro vinta 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.78 · Sopra 2.5 26% · Current selection Sotto。