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URY Uruguay - Clausura · Mérkőzés ·

Danubio vs Cerro

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–11.77 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem40%
Döntetlen34%
Vendég győzelem26%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem40% selection probability
Projected score1–1DanubioCerro
Expected goals1.77Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt74% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem67% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
40% / 34% / 26%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro win (26%)Dupla esély1X74%1.35
Felett 26% · Alatt 74%Goals 2.5Alatt74%1.35
Igen 33% · Nem 67%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem67%1.49
1.77 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
8.6 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Danubio win40%2.50
Döntetlen34%2.94
Cerro win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Danubio1.08

Hazai share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals1.77Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 26% · Alatt 74%

Cerro0.69

Vendég share of expected goals 39%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 33% · Nem 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Danubio

1.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontok8

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Cerro

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Nyert probability excluding draw
26%
8
Points from supplied form
11
1.08
Expected goals
0.69
DanubioCerro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Danubio signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Danubio vs Cerro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Danubio nyer 40%,Döntetlen 34%,Cerro nyer 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.77 · 2.5 felett 26% · Current selection Alatt