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LVA Letonia - Virsliga · Round 27 ·

FK Auda vs FK Liepaja

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local50%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante25%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local50% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK AudaFK Liepaja
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
50% / 25% / 25%Resultado del partidoVictoria local50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Liepaja win (24.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X75.3%1.33
Más de 49% · Menos de 51%Goals 2.5Menos de51%1.96
Sí 51% · No 49%Ambos equipos marcan51%1.96
2.65 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Auda winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Auda win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp
Empate25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
FK Liepaja win25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Auda1.66

Local share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 49% · Menos de 51%

FK Liepaja0.99

Visitante share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

FK Auda

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FK Liepaja

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Ganado probability excluding draw
25%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.66
Expected goals
0.99
FK AudaFK Liepaja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Auda signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Liepaja signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FK Auda vs FK Liepaja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Auda ganada 50%,Empate 25%,FK Liepaja ganada 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Más de 2.5 49% · Current selection Menos de