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LVA Lotyšsko - Virsliga · Round 27 ·

FK Auda vs FK Liepaja

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich50%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostí25%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich50% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK AudaFK Liepaja
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menej51% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
50% / 25% / 25%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Liepaja win (24.7%)Dvojitá šanca1X75.3%1.33
Viac 49% · Menej 51%Goals 2.5Menej51%1.96
Áno 51% · Nie 49%Oba tímy skórujúÁno51%1.96
2.65 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Auda winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Auda win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp
Remíza25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
FK Liepaja win25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Auda1.66

Domáci share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 49% · Menej 51%

FK Liepaja0.99

Hostia share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 51% · Nie 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FK Auda

2.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

FK Liepaja

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Výhra probability excluding draw
25%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.66
Expected goals
0.99
FK AudaFK Liepaja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Auda signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Liepaja signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FK Auda vs FK Liepaja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Auda výhra 50%,Remíza 25%,FK Liepaja výhra 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Viac 2.5 49% · Current selection Menej