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LVA Lettonie - Virsliga · Round 27 ·

FK Auda vs FK Liepaja

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile50%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur25%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile50% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK AudaFK Liepaja
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
50% / 25% / 25%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Liepaja win (24.7%)Double chance1X75.3%1.33
Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%Goals 2.5Moins de51%1.96
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.65 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFK Auda winDifference0.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Auda win50%2.001.8050%0.0 pp
Nul25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
FK Liepaja win25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Auda1.66

Domicile share of expected goals 62.6%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%

FK Liepaja0.99

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

FK Auda

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FK Liepaja

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gagné probability excluding draw
25%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.66
Expected goals
0.99
FK AudaFK Liepaja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Auda signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Liepaja signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FK Auda vs FK Liepaja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Auda victoire 50%,Nul 25%,FK Liepaja victoire 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Plus de 2.5 49% · Current selection Moins de