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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Partido ·

CD Cinfães vs UD Sousense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.39 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local54%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante17%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 54% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local54% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD CinfãesUD Sousense
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de58% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
54% / 29% / 17%Resultado del partidoVictoria local54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Sousense win (17.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X82.8%1.21
Más de 42% · Menos de 58%Goals 2.5Menos de58%1.72
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.39 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Cinfães win54%1.851.6255%
Empate29%3.453.1028.8%
UD Sousense win17%5.885.5016.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Cinfães1.53

Local share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 42% · Menos de 58%

UD Sousense0.86

Visitante share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CD Cinfães

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

UD Sousense

0.00pts / match
Jugados0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Puntos0

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Ganado probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
0
1.53
Expected goals
0.86
CD CinfãesUD Sousense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Cinfães signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Sousense signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

CD Cinfães vs UD Sousense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Cinfães ganada 54%,Empate 29%,UD Sousense ganada 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Más de 2.5 42% · Current selection Menos de