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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Match ·

Cinfaes vs UD Sousense

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.39 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger54%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger17%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 54% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger54% selection probability
Projected score2–1CinfaesUD Sousense
Expected goals2.39Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
54% / 29% / 17%MatchresultatHemmaseger54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD Sousense win (17.2%)Dubbelchans1X82.8%1.21
Över 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nej 52%Båda lagen gör målNej52%1.92
2.39 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cinfaes win54%1.851.6255%
Oavgjort29%3.453.1028.8%
UD Sousense win17%5.885.5016.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cinfaes1.53

Hemma share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals2.39Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 42% · Under 58%

UD Sousense0.86

Borta share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nej 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Cinfaes

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

UD Sousense

0.00pts / match
Spelade0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Poäng0

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
0
1.53
Expected goals
0.86
CinfaesUD Sousense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cinfaes signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Sousense signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Cinfaes vs UD Sousense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cinfaes vunnen 54%,Oavgjort 29%,UD Sousense vunnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.39 · Över 2.5 42% · Current selection Under