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BRA Brasil - Serie C · Partido ·

Maranhao vs Brusque

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local38%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante30%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local38% selection probability
Projected score1–1MaranhaoBrusque
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de78% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
38% / 32% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brusque win (30.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X69.5%1.44
Más de 22% · Menos de 78%Goals 2.5Menos de78%1.28
Sí 31% · No 69%Ambos equipos marcanNo69%1.45
1.63 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
11.6 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMaranhao winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maranhao win38%2.632.3039%-1.0 pp
Empate32%3.132.8831.1%+0.9 pp
Brusque win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maranhao0.73

Local share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 22% · Menos de 78%

Brusque0.90

Visitante share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Maranhao

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Brusque

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.73
Expected goals
0.90
MaranhaoBrusque
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maranhao signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brusque signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Maranhao vs Brusque FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maranhao ganada 38%,Empate 32%,Brusque ganada 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Más de 2.5 22% · Current selection Menos de