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BRA Brazil Serie C · Trận đấu ·

Maranhao vs Brusque

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.63 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng38%
Hòa32%
Đội khách thắng30%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng38% selection probability
Projected score1–1MaranhaoBrusque
Expected goals1.63Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu78% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
38% / 32% / 30%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brusque win (30.5%)Cơ hội kép1X69.5%1.44
Tài 22% · Xỉu 78%Goals 2.5Xỉu78%1.28
Có 31% · Không 69%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông69%1.45
1.63 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
11.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMaranhao winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maranhao win38%2.632.3039%-1.0 pp
Hòa32%3.132.8831.1%+0.9 pp
Brusque win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maranhao0.73

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals1.63Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 22% · Xỉu 78%

Brusque0.90

Khách share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 31% · Không 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Maranhao

1.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Điểm5

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Brusque

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Thắng probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.73
Expected goals
0.90
MaranhaoBrusque
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maranhao signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brusque signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Maranhao vs Brusque FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maranhao thắng 38%,Hòa 32%,Brusque thắng 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.63 · Tài 2.5 22% · Current selection Xỉu