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BRA Brazil Serie C · Partida ·

Maranhão vs Brusque

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa38%
Empate32%
Vitória visitante30%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa38% selection probability
Projected score1–1MaranhãoBrusque
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo78% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão69% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
38% / 32% / 30%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Brusque win (30.5%)Dupla Chance1X69.5%1.44
Acima 22% · Abaixo 78%Goals 2.5Abaixo78%1.28
Sim 31% · Não 69%Ambas as equipes marcamNão69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
11.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapMaranhão winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maranhão win38%2.632.3039%-1.0 pp
Empate32%3.132.8831.1%+0.9 pp
Brusque win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maranhão0.72

Mandante share of expected goals 44.4%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 22% · Abaixo 78%

Brusque0.90

Visitante share of expected goals 55.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 31% · Não 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Maranhão

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Brusque

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.72
Expected goals
0.90
MaranhãoBrusque
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maranhão signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brusque signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Maranhão vs Brusque FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maranhão ganhou 38%,Empate 32%,Brusque ganhou 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · Acima 2.5 22% · Current selection Abaixo