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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Nanjing City vs Nantong Zhiyun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local25%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante45%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nanjing CityNantong Zhiyun
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de64% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
25% / 30% / 45%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nanjing City win (24.9%)Doble OportunidadX275.1%1.33
Más de 36% · Menos de 64%Goals 2.5Menos de64%1.56
Sí 39% · No 61%Ambos equipos marcanNo61%1.64
2.12 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapNanjing City winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nanjing City win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Empate30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Nantong Zhiyun win45%2.222.0044.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nanjing City0.72

Local share of expected goals 34%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 36% · Menos de 64%

Nantong Zhiyun1.40

Visitante share of expected goals 66%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 39% · No 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Nanjing City

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Nantong Zhiyun

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Ganado probability excluding draw
45%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.72
Expected goals
1.40
Nanjing CityNantong Zhiyun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nanjing City signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nantong Zhiyun signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Nanjing City vs Nantong Zhiyun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nanjing City ganada 25%,Empate 30%,Nantong Zhiyun ganada 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Más de 2.5 36% · Current selection Menos de