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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Нанкин Сити vs Наньтун Чжиюнь

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев26%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей43%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Нанкин СитиНаньтун Чжиюнь
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше64% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
26% / 31% / 43%Исход матчаПобеда гостей43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Нанкин Сити win (26.3%)Двойной шансX273.7%1.36
Больше 36% · Меньше 64%Goals 2.5Меньше64%1.56
Да 39% · Нет 61%Обе забьютНет61%1.64
2.12 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.2 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapНанкин Сити winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Нанкин Сити win26%3.853.3027%-1.0 pp
Ничья31%3.232.9030.7%+0.3 pp
Наньтун Чжиюнь win43%2.332.1042.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нанкин Сити0.72

Хозяева share of expected goals 34%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 36% · Меньше 64%

Наньтун Чжиюнь1.40

Гости share of expected goals 66%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 39% · Нет 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Нанкин Сити

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Наньтун Чжиюнь

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
43%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.72
Expected goals
1.40
Нанкин СитиНаньтун Чжиюнь
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нанкин Сити signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Наньтун Чжиюнь signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Нанкин Сити vs Наньтун Чжиюнь FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нанкин Сити выигрыш 26%,Ничья 31%,Наньтун Чжиюнь выигрыш 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · ТБ 2.5 36% · Current selection Меньше