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CHN China Division 1 · Round 17 ·

Nanjing City vs Nantong Zhiyun

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng25%
Hòa30%
Đội khách thắng45%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Nanjing CityNantong Zhiyun
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu64% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
25% / 30% / 45%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nanjing City win (24.9%)Cơ hội képX275.1%1.33
Tài 36% · Xỉu 64%Goals 2.5Xỉu64%1.56
Có 39% · Không 61%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông61%1.64
2.12 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
9.2 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapNanjing City winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nanjing City win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Hòa30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Nantong Zhiyun win45%2.222.0044.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nanjing City0.72

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 34%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 36% · Xỉu 64%

Nantong Zhiyun1.40

Khách share of expected goals 66%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 39% · Không 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Nanjing City

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Nantong Zhiyun

1.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Điểm8

SignalKhách unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Thắng probability excluding draw
45%
4
Points from supplied form
8
0.72
Expected goals
1.40
Nanjing CityNantong Zhiyun
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nanjing City signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nantong Zhiyun signalKhách unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Nanjing City vs Nantong Zhiyun FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nanjing City thắng 25%,Hòa 30%,Nantong Zhiyun thắng 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Tài 2.5 36% · Current selection Xỉu