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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Partido ·

Corinthians sub-20 vs Ferroviária sub-20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–01.56 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local62%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante14%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local62% selection probability
Projected score1–0Corinthians sub-20Ferroviária sub-20
Expected goals1.56Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de79% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
62% / 24% / 14%Resultado del partidoVictoria local62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviária sub-20 win (14.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X85.5%1.17
Más de 21% · Menos de 79%Goals 2.5Menos de79%1.27
Sí 21% · No 79%Ambos equipos marcanNo79%1.27
1.56 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–0
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Corinthians sub-20 win62%1.611.4462.1%-0.1 pp
Empate24%4.173.9022.9%+1.1 pp
Ferroviária sub-20 win14%7.146.0014.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Corinthians sub-201.22

Local share of expected goals 78.2%

Total expected goals1.56Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 21% · Menos de 79%

Ferroviária sub-200.34

Visitante share of expected goals 21.8%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 21% · No 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Corinthians sub-20

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ferroviária sub-20

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Ganado probability excluding draw
14%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.22
Expected goals
0.34
Corinthians sub-20Ferroviária sub-20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Corinthians sub-20 signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferroviária sub-20 signalLocal clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Corinthians sub-20 vs Ferroviária sub-20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–0 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Corinthians sub-20 ganada 62%,Empate 24%,Ferroviária sub-20 ganada 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.56 · Más de 2.5 21% · Current selection Menos de