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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Partida ·

Corinthians Sub20 vs Ferroviária Sub20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–01.57 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa62%
Empate24%
Vitória visitante14%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa62% selection probability
Projected score1–0Corinthians Sub20Ferroviária Sub20
Expected goals1.57Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo79% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão80% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
62% / 24% / 14%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ferroviária Sub20 win (14.5%)Dupla Chance1X85.5%1.17
Acima 21% · Abaixo 79%Goals 2.5Abaixo79%1.27
Sim 20% · Não 80%Ambas as equipes marcamNão80%1.25
1.57 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–0
9.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Corinthians Sub20 win62%1.611.4462.1%-0.1 pp
Empate24%4.173.9022.9%+1.1 pp
Ferroviária Sub20 win14%7.146.0014.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Corinthians Sub201.23

Mandante share of expected goals 78.3%

Total expected goals1.57Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 21% · Abaixo 79%

Ferroviária Sub200.34

Visitante share of expected goals 21.7%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitSim 20% · Não 80%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Corinthians Sub20

3.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Pontos15

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Ferroviária Sub20

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
14%
15
Points from supplied form
10
1.23
Expected goals
0.34
Corinthians Sub20Ferroviária Sub20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Corinthians Sub20 signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ferroviária Sub20 signalMandante clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Corinthians Sub20 vs Ferroviária Sub20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–0 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Corinthians Sub20 ganhou 62%,Empate 24%,Ferroviária Sub20 ganhou 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.57 · Acima 2.5 21% · Current selection Abaixo