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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Mortagua FC vs GD Os Nazarenos

Prediction review

Local form
Final score3–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante28%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 44% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Mortagua FCGD Os Nazarenos
Expected goals2.38Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 27% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Doble Oportunidad1272.7%1.38
Más de 43% · Menos de 57%Goals 2.5Menos de57%1.75
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.38 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Mortagua FC win44%2.27
Empate27%3.70
GD Os Nazarenos win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mortagua FC1.36

Local share of expected goals 57.1%

Total expected goals2.38Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 43% · Menos de 57%

GD Os Nazarenos1.02

Visitante share of expected goals 42.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Mortagua FC

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

GD Os Nazarenos

0.00pts / match
Jugados0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Puntos0

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
0
1.36
Expected goals
1.02
Mortagua FCGD Os Nazarenos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mortagua FC signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GD Os Nazarenos signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Mortagua FC vs GD Os Nazarenos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mortagua FC ganada 44%,Empate 27%,GD Os Nazarenos ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.38 · Más de 2.5 43% · Current selection Menos de