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SCO Escocia - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local60%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante16%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local60% selection probability
Projected score2–1HeartsDundee Utd
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
60% / 24% / 16%Resultado del partidoVictoria local60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundee Utd win (16%)Doble Oportunidad1X84%1.19
Más de 55% · Menos de 45%Goals 2.5Más de55%1.82
Sí 45% · No 55%Ambos equipos marcanNo55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Hearts win60%1.67
Empate24%4.17
Dundee Utd win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hearts2.18

Local share of expected goals 75.7%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 55% · Menos de 45%

Dundee Utd0.70

Visitante share of expected goals 24.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Hearts

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Dundee Utd

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Ganado probability excluding draw
16%
3
Points from supplied form
10
2.18
Expected goals
0.70
HeartsDundee Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hearts signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundee Utd signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Hearts vs Dundee Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hearts ganada 60%,Empate 24%,Dundee Utd ganada 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Más de 2.5 55% · Current selection Más de