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SCO Scozia - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa60%
Pareggio24%
Vittoria ospite16%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa60% selection probability
Projected score2–1HeartsDundee Utd
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
60% / 24% / 16%Esito partitaVittoria casa60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundee Utd win (16%)Doppia Chance1X84%1.19
Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%Goals 2.5Sopra55%1.82
Sì 45% · No 55%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Hearts win60%1.67
Pareggio24%4.17
Dundee Utd win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hearts2.18

Casa share of expected goals 75.7%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 55% · Sotto 45%

Dundee Utd0.70

Trasferta share of expected goals 24.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Hearts

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Dundee Utd

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vinta probability excluding draw
16%
3
Points from supplied form
10
2.18
Expected goals
0.70
HeartsDundee Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hearts signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundee Utd signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Hearts vs Dundee Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hearts vinta 60%,Pareggio 24%,Dundee Utd vinta 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Sopra 2.5 55% · Current selection Sopra