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SCO Škótsko - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Hearts vs Dundee Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich60%
Remíza24%
Výhra hostí16%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich60% selection probability
Projected score2–1HeartsDundee Utd
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac55% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
60% / 24% / 16%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dundee Utd win (16%)Dvojitá šanca1X84%1.19
Viac 55% · Menej 45%Goals 2.5Viac55%1.82
Áno 45% · Nie 55%Oba tímy skórujúNie55%1.82
2.88 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Hearts win60%1.67
Remíza24%4.17
Dundee Utd win16%6.25

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hearts2.18

Domáci share of expected goals 75.7%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 55% · Menej 45%

Dundee Utd0.70

Hostia share of expected goals 24.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 45% · Nie 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Hearts

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Dundee Utd

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Výhra probability excluding draw
16%
3
Points from supplied form
10
2.18
Expected goals
0.70
HeartsDundee Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hearts signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dundee Utd signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Hearts vs Dundee Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hearts výhra 60%,Remíza 24%,Dundee Utd výhra 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Viac 2.5 55% · Current selection Viac