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CHL Chile - Primera B · Partido ·

Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Puerto Montt

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local42%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante30%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Deportes Santa CruzPuerto Montt
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de58% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
42% / 28% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Doble Oportunidad1271.8%1.39
Más de 42% · Menos de 58%Goals 2.5Menos de58%1.72
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapPuerto Montt winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Deportes Santa Cruz win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Empate28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Puerto Montt win30%3.333.1029%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Deportes Santa Cruz1.13

Local share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 42% · Menos de 58%

Puerto Montt1.21

Visitante share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Club Deportes Santa Cruz

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Puerto Montt

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalVisitante failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%
5
Points from supplied form
7
1.13
Expected goals
1.21
Club Deportes Santa CruzPuerto Montt
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Deportes Santa Cruz signalVisitante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Puerto Montt signalVisitante failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs Puerto Montt FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Deportes Santa Cruz ganada 42%,Empate 28%,Puerto Montt ganada 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Más de 2.5 42% · Current selection Menos de