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MLT Μάλτα - Πρέμιερ Λιγκ · Round 1 ·

Φλοριάνα vs Σλιέμα Γουόντερερς

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.08 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου53%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου17%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου53% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΦλοριάναΣλιέμα Γουόντερερς
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω65% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
53% / 29% / 17%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σλιέμα Γουόντερερς win (17.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X82.5%1.21
Άνω 35% · Κάτω 65%Goals 2.5Κάτω65%1.54
Ναι 33% · Όχι 67%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67%1.49
2.08 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Φλοριάνα win53%1.89
Ισοπαλία29%3.45
Σλιέμα Γουόντερερς win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Φλοριάνα1.55

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 35% · Κάτω 65%

Σλιέμα Γουόντερερς0.53

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 33% · Όχι 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Φλοριάνα

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Σλιέμα Γουόντερερς

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.55
Expected goals
0.53
ΦλοριάναΣλιέμα Γουόντερερς
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Φλοριάνα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Σλιέμα Γουόντερερς signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Φλοριάνα vs Σλιέμα Γουόντερερς FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Φλοριάνα νίκη 53%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Σλιέμα Γουόντερερς νίκη 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Άνω 2.5 35% · Current selection Κάτω