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MLT Malta - Premier League · Round 1 ·

Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.08 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy53%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości17%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FlorianaSliema Wanderers
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej65% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
53% / 29% / 17%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sliema Wanderers win (17.5%)Podwójna szansa1X82.5%1.21
Powyżej 35% · Poniżej 65%Goals 2.5Poniżej65%1.54
Tak 33% · Nie 67%Obie drużyny strzeląNie67%1.49
2.08 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Floriana win53%1.89
Remis29%3.45
Sliema Wanderers win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Floriana1.55

Gospodarze share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 35% · Poniżej 65%

Sliema Wanderers0.53

Goście share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 33% · Nie 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Floriana

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Sliema Wanderers

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.55
Expected goals
0.53
FlorianaSliema Wanderers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Floriana signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sliema Wanderers signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Floriana wygrana 53%,Remis 29%,Sliema Wanderers wygrana 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Powyżej 2.5 35% · Current selection Poniżej