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MLT Malta - Premier League · Round 1 ·

Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.08 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde53%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți17%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde53% selection probability
Projected score2–1FlorianaSliema Wanderers
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub65% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
53% / 29% / 17%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sliema Wanderers win (17.5%)Șansă dublă1X82.5%1.21
Peste 35% · Sub 65%Goals 2.5Sub65%1.54
Da 33% · Nu 67%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67%1.49
2.08 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Floriana win53%1.89
Egal29%3.45
Sliema Wanderers win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Floriana1.55

Gazde share of expected goals 74.5%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 35% · Sub 65%

Sliema Wanderers0.53

Oaspeți share of expected goals 25.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 33% · Nu 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Floriana

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Sliema Wanderers

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Câștig probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.55
Expected goals
0.53
FlorianaSliema Wanderers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Floriana signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sliema Wanderers signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Floriana câștig 53%,Egal 29%,Sliema Wanderers câștig 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Peste 2.5 35% · Current selection Sub