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MLT Μάλτα - Πρέμιερ Λιγκ · Αγώνας ·

Μπιρκιρκάρα vs Χαμρούν Σπάρτανς

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.75 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου26%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου46%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου46% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΜπιρκιρκάραΧαμρούν Σπάρτανς
Expected goals1.75Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω74% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
26% / 29% / 46%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μπιρκιρκάρα win (25.6%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX274.4%1.34
Άνω 26% · Κάτω 74%Goals 2.5Κάτω74%1.35
Ναι 33% · Όχι 67%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67%1.49
1.75 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Μπιρκιρκάρα win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Χαμρούν Σπάρτανς win46%2.171.9546.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μπιρκιρκάρα0.70

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 40%

Total expected goals1.75Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 26% · Κάτω 74%

Χαμρούν Σπάρτανς1.05

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 60%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 33% · Όχι 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μπιρκιρκάρα

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Χαμρούν Σπάρτανς

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
46%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.70
Expected goals
1.05
ΜπιρκιρκάραΧαμρούν Σπάρτανς
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μπιρκιρκάρα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Χαμρούν Σπάρτανς signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Μπιρκιρκάρα vs Χαμρούν Σπάρτανς FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μπιρκιρκάρα νίκη 26%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Χαμρούν Σπάρτανς νίκη 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.75 · Άνω 2.5 26% · Current selection Κάτω