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MLT Malta - Premier League · Spiel ·

Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.75 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg26%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg46%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg46% selection probability
Projected score1–1BirkirkaraHamrun Spartans
Expected goals1.75Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter74% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
26% / 29% / 46%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Birkirkara win (25.6%)Doppelte ChanceX274.4%1.34
Über 26% · Unter 74%Goals 2.5Unter74%1.35
Ja 33% · Nein 67%Beide Teams treffenNein67%1.49
1.75 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Birkirkara win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.2028.1%+0.9 pp
Hamrun Spartans win46%2.171.9546.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Birkirkara0.70

Heim share of expected goals 40%

Total expected goals1.75Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 26% · Unter 74%

Hamrun Spartans1.05

Auswärts share of expected goals 60%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nein 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Birkirkara

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Hamrun Spartans

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
46%
8
Points from supplied form
7
0.70
Expected goals
1.05
BirkirkaraHamrun Spartans
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Birkirkara signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hamrun Spartans signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Birkirkara Gewinn 26%,Unentschieden 29%,Hamrun Spartans Gewinn 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.75 · Über 2.5 26% · Current selection Unter