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ENG Αγγλία - Νάσιοναλ Λιγκ · Round 1 ·

Σκάνθορπ vs Γέοβιλ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου51%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου22%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου51% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΣκάνθορπΓέοβιλ
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω51% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
51% / 27% / 22%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Γέοβιλ win (22.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X77.7%1.29
Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%Goals 2.5Άνω51%1.96
Ναι 50% · Όχι 50%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι50%2.00
2.72 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σκάνθορπ win51%1.96
Ισοπαλία27%3.70
Γέοβιλ win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σκάνθορπ1.83

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%

Γέοβιλ0.89

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 50% · Όχι 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σκάνθορπ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Γέοβιλ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
0.89
ΣκάνθορπΓέοβιλ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σκάνθορπ signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Γέοβιλ signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Σκάνθορπ vs Γέοβιλ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σκάνθορπ νίκη 51%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Γέοβιλ νίκη 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Άνω 2.5 51% · Current selection Άνω