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ENG England - National League · Round 1 ·

Scunthorpe vs Yeovil

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg51%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg22%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg51% selection probability
Projected score2–1ScunthorpeYeovil
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
51% / 27% / 22%SpielergebnisHeimsieg51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Yeovil win (22.3%)Doppelte Chance1X77.7%1.29
Über 51% · Unter 49%Goals 2.5Über51%1.96
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenNein50%2.00
2.72 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Scunthorpe win51%1.96
Unentschieden27%3.70
Yeovil win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Scunthorpe1.83

Heim share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 51% · Unter 49%

Yeovil0.89

Auswärts share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Scunthorpe

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Yeovil

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.83
Expected goals
0.89
ScunthorpeYeovil
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Scunthorpe signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Yeovil signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Scunthorpe vs Yeovil FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Scunthorpe Gewinn 51%,Unentschieden 27%,Yeovil Gewinn 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Über 2.5 51% · Current selection Über