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EUR UEFA Europa League - Qualifikation · Spiel ·

Lillestrøm vs KF Egnatia

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg29%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score2–1LillestrømKF Egnatia
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 26% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Doppelte Chance1274.4%1.34
Über 49% · Unter 51%Goals 2.5Unter51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.65 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Lillestrøm win46%2.17
Unentschieden26%3.85
KF Egnatia win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lillestrøm1.51

Heim share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 49% · Unter 51%

KF Egnatia1.14

Auswärts share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Lillestrøm

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

KF Egnatia

1.33pts / match
Gespielt3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punkte4

SignalNein recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.51
Expected goals
1.14
LillestrømKF Egnatia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lillestrøm signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KF Egnatia signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lillestrøm vs KF Egnatia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lillestrøm Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 26%,KF Egnatia Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Über 2.5 49% · Current selection Unter