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EUR UEFA Europa League - Qualif. · Match ·

Lillestrom vs KF Egnatia

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur29%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score2–1LillestromKF Egnatia
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 26% / 29%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Double chance1274.4%1.34
Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%Goals 2.5Moins de51%1.96
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.65 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Lillestrom win46%2.17
Nul26%3.85
KF Egnatia win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lillestrom1.51

Domicile share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 49% · Moins de 51%

KF Egnatia1.14

Extérieur share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Lillestrom

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

KF Egnatia

1.33pts / match
Joués3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalNon recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.51
Expected goals
1.14
LillestromKF Egnatia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lillestrom signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KF Egnatia signalNon recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lillestrom vs KF Egnatia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lillestrom victoire 46%,Nul 26%,KF Egnatia victoire 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Plus de 2.5 49% · Current selection Moins de