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EUR UEFA Europa League - Qual. · Partita ·

Lillestrom vs KF Egnatia

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.65 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa46%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite29%
Baseline forecastVittoria casaTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa46% selection probability
Projected score2–1LillestromKF Egnatia
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto51% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
46% / 26% / 29%Esito partitaVittoria casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Doppia Chance1274.4%1.34
Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%Goals 2.5Sotto51%1.96
Sì 53% · No 47%Entrambe le squadre segnano53%1.89
2.65 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Lillestrom win46%2.17
Pareggio26%3.85
KF Egnatia win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lillestrom1.51

Casa share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 49% · Sotto 51%

KF Egnatia1.14

Trasferta share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Lillestrom

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

KF Egnatia

1.33pts / match
Giocate3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punti4

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vinta probability excluding draw
29%
2
Points from supplied form
4
1.51
Expected goals
1.14
LillestromKF Egnatia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lillestrom signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KF Egnatia signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lillestrom vs KF Egnatia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lillestrom vinta 46%,Pareggio 26%,KF Egnatia vinta 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Sopra 2.5 49% · Current selection Sotto