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EUR UEFA Europa League - Qualifikation · Spiel ·

Viktoria Pilsen vs Roter Stern Belgrad

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg28%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Viktoria PilsenRoter Stern Belgrad
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 26% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Doppelte Chance1274.1%1.35
Über 49% · Unter 51%Goals 2.5Unter51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nein 47%Beide Teams treffenJa53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Viktoria Pilsen win46%2.171.9546.6%
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.9%
Roter Stern Belgrad win28%3.573.3027.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viktoria Pilsen1.52

Heim share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 49% · Unter 51%

Roter Stern Belgrad1.12

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nein 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Viktoria Pilsen

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Roter Stern Belgrad

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
15
1.52
Expected goals
1.12
Viktoria PilsenRoter Stern Belgrad
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viktoria Pilsen signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Roter Stern Belgrad signalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Viktoria Pilsen vs Roter Stern Belgrad FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viktoria Pilsen Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 26%,Roter Stern Belgrad Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Über 2.5 49% · Current selection Unter