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EUR UEFA Europa League Qualifying · Fixture ·

Viktoria Plzen vs Crvena Zvezda

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw26%
Away win28%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Viktoria PlzenCrvena Zvezda
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 26% / 28%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Double chance1274.1%1.35
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.64 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Viktoria Plzen win46%2.171.9546.6%
Draw26%3.853.5025.9%
Crvena Zvezda win28%3.573.3027.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Viktoria Plzen1.52

Home share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Crvena Zvezda1.12

Away share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Viktoria Plzen

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Crvena Zvezda

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
15
1.52
Expected goals
1.12
Viktoria PlzenCrvena Zvezda
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Viktoria Plzen signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Crvena Zvezda signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Viktoria Plzen vs Crvena Zvezda FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Viktoria Plzen win 46%,Draw 26%,Crvena Zvezda win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under