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MLT Malta - Premier League · Final ·

Valletta vs Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score4–2Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg53%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg18%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg53% selection probability
Projected score2–1VallettaSaint Patrick FC Zabbar
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
53% / 29% / 18%SpielergebnisHeimsieg53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Saint Patrick FC Zabbar win (18.2%)Doppelte Chance1X81.8%1.22
Über 38% · Unter 62%Goals 2.5Unter62%1.61
Ja 36% · Nein 64%Beide Teams treffenNein64%1.56
2.20 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Valletta win53%1.89
Unentschieden29%3.45
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valletta1.61

Heim share of expected goals 73.2%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 38% · Unter 62%

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar0.59

Auswärts share of expected goals 26.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nein 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Valletta

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.61
Expected goals
0.59
VallettaSaint Patrick FC Zabbar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valletta signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Saint Patrick FC Zabbar signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Valletta vs Saint Patrick FC Zabbar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valletta Gewinn 53%,Unentschieden 29%,Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Gewinn 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Über 2.5 38% · Current selection Unter