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MLT マルタ プレミアリーグ · Final ·

バレッタ vs セントパトリックFCシャバー

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score4–2予想 2–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利53%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利18%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction 的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利53% selection probability
Projected score2–1バレッタセントパトリックFCシャバー
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー62% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
53% / 29% / 18%試合結果ホーム勝利53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes セントパトリックFCシャバー win (18.2%)ダブルチャンス1X81.8%1.22
オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%Goals 2.5アンダー62%1.61
はい 36% · いいえ 64%両チーム得点いいえ64%1.56
2.20 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
バレッタ win53%1.89
引き分け29%3.45
セントパトリックFCシャバー win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

バレッタ1.61

ホーム share of expected goals 73.2%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%

セントパトリックFCシャバー0.59

アウェイ share of expected goals 26.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 36% · いいえ 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

バレッタ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

セントパトリックFCシャバー

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
勝ち probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.61
Expected goals
0.59
バレッタセントパトリックFCシャバー
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01バレッタ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02セントパトリックFCシャバー signalホーム failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

バレッタ vs セントパトリックFCシャバー FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

バレッタ 勝ち 53%,引き分け 29%,セントパトリックFCシャバー 勝ち 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · オーバー 2.5 38% · Current selection アンダー