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MLT Мальта - Премьер-лига · Final ·

Валлетта vs Заббар Сент-Патрик ФК

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score4–2Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев53%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей18%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев53% selection probability
Projected score2–1ВаллеттаЗаббар Сент-Патрик ФК
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
53% / 29% / 18%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Заббар Сент-Патрик ФК win (18.2%)Двойной шанс1X81.8%1.22
Больше 38% · Меньше 62%Goals 2.5Меньше62%1.61
Да 36% · Нет 64%Обе забьютНет64%1.56
2.20 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.8 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Валлетта win53%1.89
Ничья29%3.45
Заббар Сент-Патрик ФК win18%5.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Валлетта1.61

Хозяева share of expected goals 73.2%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 38% · Меньше 62%

Заббар Сент-Патрик ФК0.59

Гости share of expected goals 26.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 36% · Нет 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Валлетта

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Заббар Сент-Патрик ФК

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
18%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.61
Expected goals
0.59
ВаллеттаЗаббар Сент-Патрик ФК
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Валлетта signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Заббар Сент-Патрик ФК signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Валлетта vs Заббар Сент-Патрик ФК FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Валлетта выигрыш 53%,Ничья 29%,Заббар Сент-Патрик ФК выигрыш 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · ТБ 2.5 38% · Current selection Меньше