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AUS Australien - Tasmania Championship · Round 17 ·

South Hobart - Reserve vs Hobart City FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.81 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg71%
Unentschieden16%
Auswärtssieg13%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 71% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg71% selection probability
Projected score2–1South Hobart - ReserveHobart City FC
Expected goals3.81Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über74% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
71% / 16% / 13%SpielergebnisHeimsieg71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hobart City FC win (13.4%)Doppelte Chance1X86.6%1.15
Über 74% · Unter 26%Goals 2.5Über74%1.35
Ja 69% · Nein 31%Beide Teams treffenJa69%1.45
3.81 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
South Hobart - Reserve win71%1.411.2273.2%
Unentschieden16%6.256.0014.9%
Hobart City FC win13%7.697.5011.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Hobart - Reserve2.50

Heim share of expected goals 65.6%

Total expected goals3.81Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 74% · Unter 26%

Hobart City FC1.31

Auswärts share of expected goals 34.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 69% · Nein 31%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

South Hobart - Reserve

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Hobart City FC

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
13%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.50
Expected goals
1.31
South Hobart - ReserveHobart City FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Hobart - Reserve signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hobart City FC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

South Hobart - Reserve vs Hobart City FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Hobart - Reserve Gewinn 71%,Unentschieden 16%,Hobart City FC Gewinn 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.81 · Über 2.5 74% · Current selection Über