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AUS Australië - Tasmanië - Championship · Round 17 ·

South Hobart - Reserves vs Hobart City FC

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.78 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst63%
Gelijkspel19%
Uitwinst18%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 63% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst63% selection probability
Projected score2–1South Hobart - ReservesHobart City FC
Expected goals3.78Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven73% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
63% / 19% / 18%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hobart City FC win (18.5%)Dubbele Kans1X81.5%1.23
Boven 73% · Onder 27%Goals 2.5Boven73%1.37
Ja 70% · Nee 30%Beide teams scorenJa70%1.43
3.78 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
South Hobart - Reserves win63%1.591.4064.7%
Gelijkspel19%5.265.0018.1%
Hobart City FC win18%5.565.2517.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Hobart - Reserves2.36

Thuis share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.78Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 73% · Onder 27%

Hobart City FC1.42

Uit share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 70% · Nee 30%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

South Hobart - Reserves

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Hobart City FC

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
18%
12
Points from supplied form
10
2.36
Expected goals
1.42
South Hobart - ReservesHobart City FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Hobart - Reserves signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hobart City FC signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

South Hobart - Reserves vs Hobart City FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Hobart - Reserves gewonnen 63%,Gelijkspel 19%,Hobart City FC gewonnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.78 · Boven 2.5 73% · Current selection Boven